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RE: Swartout 2015 reference from my EndNote library please distribute to others
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- From: Victim Rights Center of CT <>
- To: "'Caramagno, Denise'" <>, "" <>, "" <>, "" <>
- Subject: RE: Swartout 2015 reference from my EndNote library please distribute to others
- Date: Wed, 20 Jan 2016 22:29:54 +0000
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See the response to the flawed Swartout report at :
http://www.jimhopper.com/swartout/Swartout_Critique.pdf
Everyone knows that most college students don’t rape. The Swartout study is an example of sloppy social science, made widely public by some agencies who profit
from bystander prevention programs, which are of marginal utility in stopping repeat offenders, and are only now being evaluated for efficacy. James Clark Executive Director/Senior Attorney Victim Rights Center of Connecticut, Inc. 8 Research Parkway Wallingford, CT 06492 203.350.3515 203.745.0073 fax From: Caramagno, Denise [mailto:]
I wonder if there has been any conversation about this study that finds serial college rapists constitute a significant minority.
Regards, Denise
Denise Caramagno, M.A., M.A. Confidential CARE Advocate Director Campus Advocacy, Resources, and Education for Sexual Assault and Gender-based Violence Office of Diversity and Outreach University of California at San Francisco 500 Parnassus, Millberry Union East, Room 233 San Francisco, Ca. 94143 Tel: (415) 502-8802 Cell: (415) 640-9080 Pronouns: “She/Her/Hers" Office of Diversity and Outreach E-Brochure Annual Diversity and Outreach Report CONFIDENTIALITY NOTICE This email communication and any attachments may contain confidential and privileged information for the use of the designated recipients named above. Distribution,
reproduction, or any other use of this transmission by any party other than the intended recipient is prohibited. From: Kimberg, Leigh
Swartout, K. M., et al. (2015). "TRajectory analysis of the campus serial rapist assumption."
JAMA Pediatr 169(12): 1148-1154.
Importance Rape on college campuses has been addressed recently by a presidential proclamation, federal legislation, advocacy groups, and popular media. Many initiatives assume that most college men
who perpetrate rape are serial rapists. The scientific foundation for this perspective is surprisingly limited.Objective To determine whether a group of serial rapists exists by identifying cohesive groups of young men, indicated by their trajectories of
rape likelihood across high school and college.Design, Setting, and Participants Latent class growth analysis of the 2 largest longitudinal data sets of adolescent sexual violence on college campuses using 2 distinct groups of male college students. The first
group was used for derivation modeling (n = 847; data collected from August 1990 through April 1995) and the second for validation modeling (n = 795; data collected from March 2008 through May 2011). Final data analyses were conducted from February 16, 2015,
through February 20, 2015.Main Outcomes and Measures Rape perpetration assessed using the Sexual Experiences Survey.Results Across samples, 178 of 1642 participants (10.8%) reported having perpetrated at least 1 rape from 14 years of age through the end
of college. A 3-trajectory model best fit both the derivation and validation data sets. Trajectories reflected low or time-limited (92.6% of participants), decreasing (5.3%), and increasing (2.1%) rape patterns. No consistently high trajectory was found. Most
men who perpetrated a rape before college were classified in the decreasing trajectory. During college, the increasing trajectory included 14 men (15.2%) who reported having perpetrated a rape, the decreasing trajectory included 30 men (32.6%), and the low
or time-limited included 48 men (52.2%). No participant in the low or time-limited trajectory reported perpetrating a rape during more than 1 period. Most men (67 [72.8%]) who committed college rape only perpetrated rape during 1 academic year.Conclusions
and Relevance Although a small group of men perpetrated rape across multiple college years, they constituted a significant minority of those who committed college rape and did not compose the group at highest risk of perpetrating rape when entering college.
Exclusive emphasis on serial predation to guide risk identification, judicial response, and rape-prevention programs is misguided. To deter college rape, prevention should be initiated before, and continue during, college. Child and adolescent health care
professionals are well positioned to intervene during the early teenage years by informing parents about the early onset of nonconsensual sexual behavior.
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- FW: Swartout 2015 reference from my EndNote library please distribute to others, Caramagno, Denise, 01/19/2016
- RE: Swartout 2015 reference from my EndNote library please distribute to others, Victim Rights Center of CT, 01/20/2016
- Re: FW: Swartout 2015 reference from my EndNote library please distribute to others, John Foubert, 01/20/2016
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